Tickets for 2026-08-11
Weekly slips
WEEKLY · edge stack (top +EV legs) 6.02x H1FZ8V
⚠ kelly jackpot: biggest +EV stack available — 5 legs at 6x (150,000x not reached)
Joint probability 0.201395 — ₦100 returns ₦602
| Kickoff (UTC) | Match | League | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | FC Fakel Voronezh vs RFK Akhmat Grozny | Russia Premier League | OU (total=4.5) | under | 1.07 | 94% | ✓ win FT 0-0 |
| 22:30 | Goias EC GO vs Londrina EC PR | Brazil Brasileiro Serie B | DNB | home | 1.30 | 83% | ✓ win FT 1-0 |
| 10:00 | Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo | Japan J1 League | DNB | home | 1.62 | 62% | pending |
| 11:00 | Liaoning Tieren FC vs Shenzhen Peng City | China Chinese Super League | DNB | home | 1.64 | 66% | pending |
| 23:00 | Atlante FC vs Deportivo Toluca FC | Mexico Liga MX | AH (hcp=1.5) | home | 1.63 | 64% | pending |
Correct-score experiment
EXPERIMENT · correct score, modal (most likely scoreline) 3075.20x S9ZXS8 loss
⚠ experiment · modal arm — the most likely scoreline in each of the week's biggest modeled games (max hit rate at the offered price); head-to-head vs CS_EXP_VALUE on the same games
Joint probability 0.000109 — ₦100 returns ₦307,520
| Kickoff (UTC) | Match | League | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | FC Botosani vs FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1921 | Romania Superliga | CS | 1-1 | 5.90 | 13% | ✗ loss FT 0-0 |
| 17:00 | Silkeborg IF vs Odense Boldklub | Denmark Superliga | CS | 1-1 | 7.30 | 10% | ✗ loss FT 1-0 |
| 23:00 | Atlante FC vs Deportivo Toluca FC | Mexico Liga MX | CS | 1-1 | 8.40 | 9% | pending |
| 18:00 | Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro FC | Mexico Liga MX | CS | 1-0 | 8.50 | 9% | pending |
EXPERIMENT · correct score, value (best price vs model) 30566.25x YP81V2 loss
⚠ experiment · value arm — the most underpriced scoreline on the same games as CS_EXP_MODAL (max EV, lower hit rate)
Joint probability 0.000016 — ₦100 returns ₦3,056,625
| Kickoff (UTC) | Match | League | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | FC Botosani vs FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1921 | Romania Superliga | CS | 0-1 | 9.75 | 8% | ✗ loss FT 0-0 |
| 17:00 | Silkeborg IF vs Odense Boldklub | Denmark Superliga | CS | 2-0 | 16.50 | 5% | ✗ loss FT 1-0 |
| 23:00 | Atlante FC vs Deportivo Toluca FC | Mexico Liga MX | CS | 2-1 | 20.00 | 5% | pending |
| 18:00 | Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro FC | Mexico Liga MX | CS | 2-0 | 9.50 | 9% | pending |