Weekly slips — 06 Jul to 12 Jul 2026
WEEKLY · edge stack (top +EV legs) 13.63x LUYCKY loss
⚠ kelly jackpot: biggest +EV stack available — 3 legs at 14x (150,000x not reached)
Joint probability 0.086562 — ₦100 returns ₦1,363
| Kickoff (UTC) | Match | League | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | France vs Morocco | International World Cup | AH (hcp=-0.5) | away | 2.40 | 45% | ✗ loss FT 2-0 |
| 11:35 | Shenzhen Peng City vs Qingdao West Coast FC | China Chinese Super League | DNB | away | 2.20 | 51% | ✗ loss FT 3-0 |
| 11:35 | Shanghai Port FC vs Dalian Yingbo FC | China Chinese Super League | AH (hcp=-1.5) | home | 2.90 | 34% | void |
EXPERIMENT · correct score, modal (most likely scoreline) 1260.75x K2CMV9 loss
⚠ experiment · modal arm — the most likely scoreline in each of the week's biggest modeled games (max hit rate at the offered price); head-to-head vs CS_EXP_VALUE on the same games
Joint probability 0.000326 — ₦100 returns ₦126,075
| Kickoff (UTC) | Match | League | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Portugal vs Spain | International World Cup | CS | 1-1 | 6.40 | 13% | ✗ loss FT 0-1 |
| 00:00 | USA vs Belgium | International World Cup | CS | 1-1 | 6.40 | 12% | ✗ loss FT 1-4 |
| 16:00 | Argentina vs Egypt | International World Cup | CS | 1-0 | 5.40 | 16% | ✗ loss FT 3-2 |
| 20:00 | Switzerland vs Colombia | International World Cup | CS | 1-1 | 5.70 | 13% | ✗ loss FT 0-0 |
EXPERIMENT · correct score, value (best price vs model) 22540.00x JRJYJX loss
⚠ experiment · value arm — the most underpriced scoreline on the same games as CS_EXP_MODAL (max EV, lower hit rate)
Joint probability 0.000023 — ₦100 returns ₦2,254,000
| Kickoff (UTC) | Match | League | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Portugal vs Spain | International World Cup | CS | 0-0 | 11.50 | 8% | ✗ loss FT 0-1 |
| 00:00 | USA vs Belgium | International World Cup | CS | 1-3 | 20.00 | 4% | ✗ loss FT 1-4 |
| 16:00 | Argentina vs Egypt | International World Cup | CS | 0-0 | 10.00 | 9% | ✗ loss FT 3-2 |
| 20:00 | Switzerland vs Colombia | International World Cup | CS | 1-2 | 9.80 | 8% | ✗ loss FT 0-0 |