Weekly slips — 13 Jul to 19 Jul 2026
EXPERIMENT · correct score, modal (most likely scoreline) 2778.52x U4U8QY loss
⚠ experiment · modal arm — the most likely scoreline in each of the week's biggest modeled games (max hit rate at the offered price); head-to-head vs CS_EXP_VALUE on the same games
Joint probability 0.000137 — ₦100 returns ₦277,852
| Kickoff (UTC) | Match | League | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | France vs Spain | International World Cup | CS | 1-1 | 5.90 | 13% | ✗ loss FT 0-2 |
| 19:00 | England vs Argentina | International World Cup | CS | 0-0 | 7.40 | 12% | ✗ loss FT 1-2 |
| 00:30 | Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | USA MLS | CS | 1-1 | 7.40 | 10% | void |
| 00:30 | Saint Louis City SC vs Sporting Kansas City | USA MLS | CS | 2-1 | 8.60 | 9% | ✗ loss FT 3-2 |
EXPERIMENT · correct score, value (best price vs model) 41895.00x LZWBES loss
⚠ experiment · value arm — the most underpriced scoreline on the same games as CS_EXP_MODAL (max EV, lower hit rate)
Joint probability 0.000012 — ₦100 returns ₦4,189,500
| Kickoff (UTC) | Match | League | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | France vs Spain | International World Cup | CS | 0-0 | 10.50 | 9% | ✗ loss FT 0-2 |
| 19:00 | England vs Argentina | International World Cup | CS | 0-2 | 14.00 | 6% | ✗ loss FT 1-2 |
| 00:30 | Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | USA MLS | CS | 0-2 | 15.00 | 5% | void |
| 00:30 | Saint Louis City SC vs Sporting Kansas City | USA MLS | CS | 1-2 | 19.00 | 4% | ✗ loss FT 3-2 |